tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8323059407874941894.post7804671317352039004..comments2023-11-05T01:15:01.929-08:00Comments on financial planning and personal sanity: Rolling 10 Year Returnsmohicanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06094213357140749289noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8323059407874941894.post-32797087669877641312009-03-10T05:21:00.000-07:002009-03-10T05:21:00.000-07:00Superficially it looks like a trend, but charts ca...Superficially it looks like a trend, but charts can deceive. <BR/><BR/>Given there isn't good data to validate this over a longer period, why do you think the last major downturn on this chart (i.e. the great depression) should correlate with this economic downturn. <BR/><BR/>Consider unemployment as an economic health indicator. During the great depression we hit unemployment rates of 30%. Currently, unemployment in Canada is 7.2% and the US just hit 8.1%. Given this, do you think these cycles line up? <BR/><BR/>Personally, I won't believe it until we hit unemployment in the high teens. <BR/><BR/>Value MonkeyUnknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11335031137153700812noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8323059407874941894.post-1101978100169276072009-03-06T23:47:00.000-08:002009-03-06T23:47:00.000-08:00Good of you to use total return and not just the i...Good of you to use total return and not just the index, which ignores dividends.<BR/><BR/>My allocation in equities is now well below my target (no mystery why) and I plan to start rebalancing late this year. No I'm not going to try to time the bottom, that can't be done.patriotzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11154064267408955762noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8323059407874941894.post-74282986512194010192009-03-06T07:49:00.000-08:002009-03-06T07:49:00.000-08:00Should I be concerned about the chart in the link ...Should I be concerned about the chart in the link below regarding a recovery?<BR/><BR/>http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/fredgraph?s[1][id]=AMBNSAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8323059407874941894.post-52746830421305954112009-03-04T14:50:00.000-08:002009-03-04T14:50:00.000-08:00Unfortunately not, TSX data doesn't go back th...Unfortunately not, TSX data doesn't go back that far and the dow is virtually the same as the S&P500.mohicanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06094213357140749289noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8323059407874941894.post-29501426125923793822009-03-04T13:23:00.000-08:002009-03-04T13:23:00.000-08:00do you have a chart like this for the tsx or dow?T...do you have a chart like this for the tsx or dow?<BR/><BR/>Thx.Paulhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08069424275563757552noreply@blogger.com